GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tiverton Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Hendon are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tiverton TownLLDWW

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HendonDDDLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tiverton TownHendon
50.8Attack55.6
41.3Defence48.4
41.3Form46.0
46.1Power51.9
1.68xG1.83
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