GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/13/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tiverton Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chesham United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

59.4%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tiverton TownLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tiverton TownChesham United
50.8Attack65.9
41.3Defence63.5
41.3Form71.4
46.1Power67.2
1.13xG2.29
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