Tiszakecske FCvs
Ajka
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tiszakecske FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tiszakecske FC 4-3 Ajka
Original prediction
Tiszakecske FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.0% | 43.3% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.1% | 27.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.0% | 28.7% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Tiszakecske FC
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Tiszakecske FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80