Tiszafuredi VSEvs
Mátészalka
COMPLETEDHungary · NB III - Northeast · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mátészalka · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tiszafuredi VSE 0-0 Mátészalka
Original prediction
Mátészalka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.7% | 30.4% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.7% | 27.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.6% | 41.7% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Mátészalka
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Mátészalka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40