NB III - NortheastNB III - Northeast
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 14:56
Tiszafuredi VSE

Tiszafuredi VSE

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DEAC

DEAC

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Tiszafuredi VSE(34%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Tiszafuredi VSE
34%
Draw
26%
DEAC
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.46 xG for Tiszafuredi VSE and 1.96 xG for DEAC — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.50), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Tiszafuredi VSE finding the net in 8 of 10 matches and DEAC in 9 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.41 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (DEAC)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (DEAC)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
DEACDEAC
W

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Tiszafuredi VSE34%
Draw26%
DEAC39%

DEAC leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Tiszafuredi VSE Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Tiszafuredi VSE host DEAC in NB III - Northeast. Tiszafuredi VSE have recorded LWWWWL in recent matches while DEAC arrive with a run of WLWWLW.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.96 expected goals for DEAC against 1.46 for Tiszafuredi VSE — a clear advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Tiszafuredi VSE have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While DEAC carry the stronger underlying metrics, Tiszafuredi VSE's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

DEAC are generating a consistent xG advantage — 1.96 projected against 1.46 for Tiszafuredi VSE. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.50 is the clearest signal in the model that DEAC are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Tiszafuredi VSE have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If Tiszafuredi VSE carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Tiszafuredi VSE are in decent form with 4 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

DEAC

DEAC

W
@ Füzesabony
17 May 2026
41

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tiszafuredi VSE vs DEAC?

GoalVio's model predicts Tiszafuredi VSE to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tiszafuredi VSE vs DEAC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Tiszafuredi VSE vs DEAC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tiszafuredi VSE vs DEAC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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