Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tishreen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tishreen 0-0 Hottin, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tishreen 0-1 Hottin
Original prediction
Tishreen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.5% | 37.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.6% | 30.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.9% | 32.2% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Tishreen 0–0 Hottin
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Tishreen
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Tishreen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TishreenDLDLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HottinDDLLW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TishreenHottin
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power48.3
1.04xG0.90