Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tirsense are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Vianense are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vianense hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.50/3.00
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60