GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tirol/CEFAT are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Piauí are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Piauí hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tirol/CEFATDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 0/2
PiauíL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Tirol/CEFATPiauí
33.3Attack41.7
66.7Defence63.9
33.3Form55.6
46.0Power56.3
0.74xG0.79
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