Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tirol U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tirol U20 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ceará U20 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ceará U20 hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (74.5 v 78.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Cearense U20, while Tirol U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tirol U20
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
13.3%
Tirol U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40