GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 9/14/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tirana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tirana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Skenderbeu Korce are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tirana hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Superliga, while Tirana holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tirana

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Tirana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TiranaDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Skenderbeu KorceWWW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 1.33/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
TiranaSkenderbeu Korce
51.9Attack35.1
54.6Defence63.2
46.3Form47.4
52.2Power50.1
1.23xG0.87
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