Tiranavs
Erzeni Shijak
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 9/22/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tirana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Tirana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Erzeni Shijak are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tirana hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 37.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the Superliga, while Tirana holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tirana
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Tirana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.50/2.50