Tiranavs
AF Elbasani
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tirana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tirana 2-2 AF Elbasani
Original prediction
Tirana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.7% | 42.2% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.6% | 27.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.6% | 29.9% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Tirana
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Tirana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TiranaDWLLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AF ElbasaniWLDDD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TiranaAF Elbasani
51.9Attack37.0
54.6Defence64.8
46.3Form46.3
52.2Power51.2
1.17xG0.92