Tiravs
Ironi Nesher
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Nesher · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tira 2-1 Ironi Nesher
Original prediction
Ironi Nesher
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.27 | 21.0% | 35.8% | 14.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 26.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 56.3% | 37.8% | -18.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Nesher
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Ironi Nesher has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80