GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Alef · 10/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tira · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Projected score: Tira 2-0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Tira 2-0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Original prediction

Tira

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2273.3%72.9%-0.4 pts
Draw5.2117.1%16.7%-0.4 pts
Away9.319.6%10.4%0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.4 pts

Projected Score

Tira 2–0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Tira

Probability

72.9%

Model confidence

72.9%

Tira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TiraWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelLLLDL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
TiraHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
61.9Attack23.8
76.2Defence33.3
81.0Form19.0
74.4Power27.4
2.58xG0.51
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