Tiravs
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/23/2026, 5:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tira · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tira 1-1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Original prediction
Tira
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.0% | 48.8% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.1% | 26.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.48 | 19.8% | 24.8% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Tira
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Tira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TiraDWWDD
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hapoel Bnei MusmusLLDWW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TiraHapoel Bnei Musmus
100.0Attack16.7
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form16.7
97.0Power36.5
1.71xG0.94