Třinecvs
Mlada Boleslav
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Cup · 9/15/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mlada Boleslav · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Třinec 0-3 Mlada Boleslav
Original prediction
Mlada Boleslav
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.97 | 15.1% | 35.1% | 20.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.94 | 18.2% | 23.8% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 66.7% | 41.1% | -25.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Mlada Boleslav
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Mlada Boleslav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00