Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kladno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Třinec 0-1 Kladno
Original prediction
Kladno
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.9% | 33.3% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 28.7% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.7% | 38.0% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Kladno
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Kladno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TřinecWLLWL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
KladnoLDLDL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TřinecKladno
37.0Attack48.1
37.0Defence48.1
25.9Form37.0
36.3Power46.0
1.23xG1.67