Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Třinec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Třinec are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hodonín are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Třinec hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the 3. liga - MSFL, while Třinec holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Třinec
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Třinec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80