Třinecvs
Baník Ostrava II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Třinec · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Třinec 1-4 Baník Ostrava II
Original prediction
Třinec
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.7% | 37.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 27.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.3% | 35.3% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Třinec
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Třinec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TřinecWDDWL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Baník Ostrava IILWLLD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TřinecBaník Ostrava II
33.3Attack46.7
60.0Defence53.3
26.7Form26.7
43.2Power42.6
1.25xG1.15