Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tiller · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Tiller are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Kolstad are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 5.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tiller hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 16.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.2% in the 3. Division - Girone 5, while Tiller holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tiller
Probability
83.2%
Model confidence
83.2%
Tiller has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/4.00
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.50/5.00