Tilburyvs
Hertford Town
SCHEDULEDEngland · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hertford Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tilbury are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hertford Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hertford Town hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the FA Trophy, while Hertford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hertford Town
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
9.6%
Hertford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 23 · avg 2.00/4.60