Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tikveš · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tikveš 2-2 Struga
Original prediction
Tikveš
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.7% | 40.4% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.0% | 27.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.3% | 32.3% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Tikveš
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Tikveš has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TikvešWDDLW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
StrugaWWWLW
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TikvešStruga
83.3Attack61.1
72.2Defence83.3
61.1Form72.2
68.9Power71.6
1.37xG1.07