Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tikveš · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tikveš are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Shkendija are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 94.8 against 94.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the First League, while Tikveš holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tikveš
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Tikveš has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60