GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/6/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tikveš · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Tikveš are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Makedonija GjP are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tikveš hold a 54.6-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the First League, while Tikveš holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tikveš

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Tikveš has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TikvešDWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Makedonija GjPLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
TikvešMakedonija GjP
100.0Attack29.3
83.3Defence55.6
100.0Form29.3
94.8Power40.2
1.75xG0.59
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