Tikvešvs
Bashkimi Kumanovo
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tikveš · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Tikveš 3-0 Bashkimi Kumanovo, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tikveš 3-1 Bashkimi Kumanovo
Original prediction
Tikveš
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 85.3% | 73.3% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 9.02 | 10.1% | 14.9% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 19.67 | 4.6% | 11.8% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Projected Score
Tikveš 3–0 Bashkimi Kumanovo
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Tikveš
Probability
73.3%
Model confidence
73.3%
Tikveš has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TikvešDWWDD
GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bashkimi KumanovoLWLDL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TikvešBashkimi Kumanovo
70.0Attack30.0
73.3Defence3.3
56.7Form23.3
64.6Power23.1
3.82xG0.39