Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tikveš are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Baltika are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Baltika hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 68.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80