First LeagueFirst League
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Tikveš

Tikveš

Home
D
51
Full time
Aresimi

Aresimi

Away
W
Gradski Stadion Kavadarci
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Tikveš(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Tikveš
40%
Draw
27%
Aresimi
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tikveš
73
Aresimi
34
Defence
Tikveš
27
Aresimi
91
Momentum
Tikveš
33
Aresimi
100
Danger (xG)
Tikveš
1.80
Aresimi
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Tikveš)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Aresimi)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Tikveš)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Aresimi)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
TikvešTikveš
D
AresimiAresimi
W

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Tikveš40%
Draw27%
Aresimi33%

Tikveš leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tikveš head into this in First League fixture at Gradski Stadion Kavadarci in mixed form (D), while Aresimi arrive in mixed form (W). Tikveš have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Aresimi over 1 games.

The model rates Tikveš's attack at 73/100 against a 91/100 Aresimi defence, and Aresimi's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Tikveš backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Tikveš have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Aresimi have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Tikveš and Aresimi in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Tikveš to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Tikveš 3974%, Draw 2715%, Aresimi 3311%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Tikveš

Tikveš

D
vs Pelister
16 May 2026
22
Aresimi

Aresimi

W
@ Sileks
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tikveš vs Aresimi?

GoalVio's model predicts Tikveš to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tikveš vs Aresimi?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Tikveš vs Aresimi?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tikveš vs Aresimi?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more