Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Tijuana W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 68.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40