Tijuana Wvs
Pumas UNAM W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/24/2026, 3:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pumas UNAM W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tijuana W 1-1 Pumas UNAM W
Original prediction
Pumas UNAM W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.95 | 22.8% | 20.3% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 18.7% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.3% | 61.0% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Pumas UNAM W
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Pumas UNAM W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20