Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tijuana W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tijuana W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Puebla W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tijuana W hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Tijuana W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tijuana W
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Tijuana W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 2 · GA 19 · avg 0.40/3.80