Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tijuana W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pachuca W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40