GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/19/2026, 11:06:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalajara W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tijuana W 0-2 Guadalajara W

Original prediction

Guadalajara W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.9223.1%21.8%-1.3 pts
Draw3.6924.5%19.4%-5.1 pts
Away1.7352.4%58.8%6.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–38%
  2. 2.1–27%
  3. 3.2–37%

Predicted outcome

Guadalajara W

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

Guadalajara W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tijuana WLWLLW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Guadalajara WLWLLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tijuana WGuadalajara W
52.4Attack81.0
19.0Defence47.6
28.6Form57.1
33.4Power60.4
1.69xG3.20
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