GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/28/2026, 12:06:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tigres UANL W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tigres UANL W 1-1 Atlético San Luis W

Original prediction

Tigres UANL W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.0785.5%71.3%-14.2 pts
Draw9.749.4%14.3%4.9 pts
Away17.805.1%14.5%9.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 8.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-14.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–18%
  2. 2.2–17%
  3. 3.4–17%

Predicted outcome

Tigres UANL W

Probability

71.3%

Model confidence

71.3%

Tigres UANL W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tigres UANL WWLWWW

GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético San Luis WWLWWW

GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tigres UANL WAtlético San Luis W
100.0Attack87.5
66.7Defence37.5
87.5Form62.5
80.7Power61.3
3.44xG1.60
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