Tigres UANLvs
Necaxa
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigres UANL · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigres UANL 1-1 Necaxa
Original prediction
Tigres UANL
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 57.4% | 46.5% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.6% | 24.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 18.9% | 29.0% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Tigres UANL
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Tigres UANL has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00