GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tigres UANL are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Liga MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

11.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tigres UANLDDLDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCLWWDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tigres UANLAtlante FC
55.6Attack55.6
11.1Defence44.4
11.1Form44.4
29.5Power51.1
1.56xG1.75
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