Tigres UANL U21vs
Puebla U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puebla U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tigres UANL U21 0-1 Puebla U21, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigres UANL U21 1-1 Puebla U21
Original prediction
Puebla U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.4% | 25.0% | -20.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.0% | 28.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 26.6% | 46.6% | 19.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.9 pts
Projected Score
Tigres UANL U21 0–1 Puebla U21
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Puebla U21
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Puebla U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tigres UANL U21DWDLL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Puebla U21DWDDW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Tigres UANL U21Puebla U21
29.6Attack33.3
40.7Defence87.5
29.6Form58.3
36.4Power61.8
0.55xG1.22