Tigres FCvs
Real Santander
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigres FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tigres FC 1-0 Real Santander, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigres FC 1-1 Real Santander
Original prediction
Tigres FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.0% | 46.2% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.1% | 30.2% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.80 | 18.9% | 23.6% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Projected Score
Tigres FC 1–0 Real Santander
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Tigres FC
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Tigres FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tigres FCWDWLW
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Real SantanderDLDWW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Tigres FCReal Santander
33.3Attack27.8
72.2Defence48.6
45.6Form25.0
51.8Power36.5
1.15xG0.40