Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tigres FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Quindio are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Quindio hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40