Primera BPrimera B
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Tigres FC

Tigres FC

Home
L
01
Full time
Leones FC

Leones FC

Away
W
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Tigres FC(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Tigres FC
40%
Draw
31%
Leones FC
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tigres FC
34
Leones FC
73
Defence
Tigres FC
27
Leones FC
91
Momentum
Tigres FC
0
Leones FC
100
Danger (xG)
Tigres FC
0.90
Leones FC
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Tigres FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Leones FC)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Tigres FC)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Leones FC)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Tigres FCTigres FC
L
Leones FCLeones FC
W

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Tigres FC40%
Draw31%
Leones FC29%

Tigres FC leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tigres FC head into this in Primera B fixture at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo in mixed form (L), while Leones FC arrive in mixed form (W). Tigres FC have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Leones FC over 1 games.

Tactically, Leones FC hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Tigres FC defence (27/100), while Tigres FC's attack faces a watertight Leones FC backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Tigres FC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Leones FC have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Tigres FC and Leones FC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Tigres FC to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Tigres FC 4013%, Draw 3065%, Leones FC 2922%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Tigres FC

Tigres FC

L
vs Envigado
14 May 2026
12
Leones FC

Leones FC

W
vs Orsomarso
12 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tigres FC vs Leones FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Tigres FC to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tigres FC vs Leones FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Leones FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tigres FC vs Leones FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more