Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigres FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tigres FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Envigado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigres FC hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 10.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Copa Colombia, while Tigres FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tigres FC
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Tigres FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80