Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tigres FC 0-0 Bogota FC, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigres FC 0-0 Bogota FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.7% | 39.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.9% | 34.2% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.3% | 26.7% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.93 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Tigres FC 0–0 Bogota FC
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tigres FCWLWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Bogota FCLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tigres FCBogota FC
32.1Attack27.4
70.2Defence64.3
44.0Form39.3
50.5Power46.4
0.75xG0.44