Tigres de Alicavs
Lobos ULMX
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 9/19/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigres de Alica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigres de Alica 1-1 Lobos ULMX
Original prediction
Tigres de Alica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.1% | 51.9% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.8% | 25.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 6.37 | 14.1% | 23.0% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Tigres de Alica
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Tigres de Alica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80