Tigrevs
Velez Sarsfield
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/10/2026, 10:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tigre are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Velez Sarsfield are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40