GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/3/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tigre are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rosario Central are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TigreW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Rosario CentralWDLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
TigreRosario Central
36.7Attack42.0
71.7Defence68.1
45.0Form59.4
52.6Power59.0
0.74xG0.67
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