Tigrevs
Rosario Central
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/13/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tigre 0-0 Rosario Central, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigre 0-1 Rosario Central
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 31.5% | 33.5% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 33.0% | 33.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 35.5% | 32.9% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Tigre 0–0 Rosario Central
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.6%
Model confidence
33.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TigreLDWLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rosario CentralDLDLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TigreRosario Central
34.7Attack42.0
72.2Defence66.7
44.4Form56.8
52.2Power57.7
0.73xG0.66