Tigrevs
Libertad Asuncion
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/21/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tigre are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Libertad Asuncion are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad Asuncion hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60