Tigrevs
Deportes Tolima
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/25/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tigre are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigre hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Tigre holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tigre
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Tigre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20