Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tigre are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Claypole are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigre hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Copa Argentina, while Tigre holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tigre
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
13.6%
Tigre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60