Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigre · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tigre 0-0 Banfield, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigre 1-2 Banfield
Original prediction
Tigre
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 54.3% | 46.2% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.6% | 30.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 5.20 | 18.1% | 23.2% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Projected Score
Tigre 0–0 Banfield
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Tigre
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Tigre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TigreLLLLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BanfieldDDDDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
TigreBanfield
34.6Attack35.8
67.9Defence55.6
39.5Form34.6
49.1Power44.2
1.01xG0.63