Tigrevs
Atletico Tucuman
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/24/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigre · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tigre 0-0 Atletico Tucuman, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigre 0-1 Atletico Tucuman
Original prediction
Tigre
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 54.2% | 46.1% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 28.0% | 31.6% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 5.26 | 17.8% | 22.3% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Projected Score
Tigre 0–0 Atletico Tucuman
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Tigre
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Tigre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TigreDLLLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico TucumanLDLLD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TigreAtletico Tucuman
35.6Attack31.0
65.5Defence62.1
37.9Form32.2
48.2Power43.6
0.89xG0.58